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admin
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Post subject: Collection value Posted: 15 Nov 2022, 03:39 |
Site Admin |
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Joined: 07 Aug 2002, 23:37 Posts: 4794 Location: Tokyo Has thanked: 334 times Been thanked: 1303 times
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Hello! Following this request from ... 2011, I added a rough evaluation of one's collection value based on the 2004~2022 average of selling prices on LDDb. admin @ Collection Value TotalAttachment:
Eval.png [ 54.39 KiB | Viewed 4173 times ]
This is BY NO MEAN a precise statistical tool and is only here for entertainment because: - Titles that have never sold here will not contribute to the sum => underestimation
Could come with a warning that only X% of the collection has statistics to back the estimation. - Unless the prices have remained flat since 2004, average will overestimate price drops and underestimate price increases.
Could be improved by using moving averages or "X most recent" when available. - Without grading added to your collection, the mint average prices will be used, this would underestimate collections with sealed titles and overestimate collections with used/damaged ones.
Requires user inputs. - Very mainstream titles with multiple transactions will bring some interesting contribution to the sum but collections with obscure/unique title will be grossly underestimated.
Julien
_________________ HARDWARE DATABASE HLD-X0/9 LD-S9 OPPO 105/205 SL-1200G LDD-1 MSC-4000 R2144 PONTUS II C45 MC257
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admin
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Post subject: Re: Collection value Posted: 15 Nov 2022, 05:41 |
Site Admin |
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Joined: 07 Aug 2002, 23:37 Posts: 4794 Location: Tokyo Has thanked: 334 times Been thanked: 1303 times
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Utterly pointless exercise, but just for fun if I apply this algorithm to ALL the LaserDisc collections right now (a million+ entries), I get: Min: $10,093,006.55 Avg: $10,591,651.13Max: $11,294,693.59 We're (collectively) multimillionaires Julien
_________________ HARDWARE DATABASE HLD-X0/9 LD-S9 OPPO 105/205 SL-1200G LDD-1 MSC-4000 R2144 PONTUS II C45 MC257
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admin
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Post subject: Re: Collection value Posted: 16 Nov 2022, 18:19 |
Site Admin |
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Joined: 07 Aug 2002, 23:37 Posts: 4794 Location: Tokyo Has thanked: 334 times Been thanked: 1303 times
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admin wrote: [*] Unless the prices have remained flat since 2004, average will overestimate price drops and underestimate price increases. Could be improved by using moving averages or "X most recent" when available. I made a quick update to only consider the most recent used/mint/sealed transaction prices for each title and updated the Collection stats. Approach is the same: no past sale = $0, mint by default, and mint by default if used or sealed data are not available. Quote: Collection value based on all historical data: Min $x.xx - Average $y.yy - Max $z.zz If only the most recent transactions are considered: $x.xx
Re-evaluating the total in collection as of today with the average method, we are now at: Min: $10,115,223.67 Avg: $10,614,213.85Max: $11,317,750.83 And the "last prices" method shows that recent prices are slightly below their historical average: $10,446,546.93Julien
_________________ HARDWARE DATABASE HLD-X0/9 LD-S9 OPPO 105/205 SL-1200G LDD-1 MSC-4000 R2144 PONTUS II C45 MC257
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ldfan
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Post subject: Re: Collection value Posted: 03 Jan 2023, 06:38 |
Hardcore fan |
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Joined: 28 Jun 2014, 05:59 Posts: 1519 Location: San Francisco, CA USA Has thanked: 454 times Been thanked: 562 times
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For some reason I missed this post Julien. Thanks for creating this new algorithm. I always did wonder what my current collection might be worth and I am bit shocked it's more than I thought. I guess it's a good reason to keep it now .
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admin
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Post subject: Re: Collection value Posted: 09 Dec 2024, 13:57 |
Site Admin |
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Joined: 07 Aug 2002, 23:37 Posts: 4794 Location: Tokyo Has thanked: 334 times Been thanked: 1303 times
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Re-evaluating the total in collection as of today with the average method, we are now at:
Min: $12,763,934 Avg: $13,380,935 Max: $14,256,938
And with the latest transactions: $13,663,122
Julien
_________________ HARDWARE DATABASE HLD-X0/9 LD-S9 OPPO 105/205 SL-1200G LDD-1 MSC-4000 R2144 PONTUS II C45 MC257
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takeshi666
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Post subject: Re: Collection value Posted: 10 Dec 2024, 23:26 |
Jedi Candidate |
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Joined: 01 Feb 2018, 02:41 Posts: 2069 Location: Finland Has thanked: 211 times Been thanked: 430 times
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Now I'm wondering what the most valuable title in my collection is. Of course it won't be any of the ones I'd part with.
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gypsy
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Post subject: Re: Collection value Posted: 10 Dec 2024, 23:55 |
Absolute fan |
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Joined: 23 Jun 2017, 01:55 Posts: 1718 Location: United States Has thanked: 1207 times Been thanked: 371 times
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takeshi666 wrote: Now I'm wondering what the most valuable title in my collection is. Of course it won't be any of the ones I'd part with. Usually how it goes. The ones people were really wanting to buy in my LD collection are the ones I don't want to get rid of.
_________________ I have added a shop on lddb.com. Check it out, items are priced to sell.
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drecksoft
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Post subject: Re: Collection value Posted: 11 Dec 2024, 11:58 |
Honest fan |
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Joined: 13 Oct 2018, 12:06 Posts: 105 Location: Germany Has thanked: 10 times Been thanked: 14 times
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gypsy wrote: Heh, neat. Actually selling is another matter of course. I've been giving away chunks of my collection and I've had people back out for stuff that would be completely free. Not just LD as I've been freeing up a lot of space and getting rid of things I won't use again. A pretty nice feeling.
Would be cool if there was a similar thing for blu-ray. Pretty much everything else I have a lot of, has some kind of collection value tracker easily available. It always depends. If you're looking to sell a collection as a package, you only get a fraction of the value. If you sell it piece by piece, you can actually get a lot more. Reference Discs for example usually have no price tag here. I found one for $35 as average and those are going for 500+ on eBay now. On the other hand, I see discs for 1000+ here but it is very rare to find someone whos willing to pay that.
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